OLD SECOND (Germany) Performance

OSB Stock  EUR 17.00  0.60  3.66%   
OLD SECOND has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 1.37, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, OLD SECOND will likely underperform. OLD SECOND BANCORP now holds a risk of 2.79%. Please check OLD SECOND BANCORP coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, and the relationship between the downside deviation and information ratio , to decide if OLD SECOND BANCORP will be following its historical price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in OLD SECOND BANCORP are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, OLD SECOND may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0139
Payout Ratio
0.1543
Forward Dividend Rate
0.22
Ex Dividend Date
2026-01-30
1
Thrivent Financial for Lutherans Acquires 56,240 Shares of Old Second Bancorp, Inc. OSBC - MarketBeat
12/22/2025
2
Old Second acquires Bancorp Financial in cash-and-stock deal - MSN
01/02/2026
3
River Street Advisors LLC Takes Position in Old Second Bancorp, Inc. OSBC - MarketBeat
01/05/2026
4
Old Second Bancorp Sets New 52-Week High - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
01/15/2026
5
Old Second Bancorp Q4 Earnings Report Preview What To Look For - FinancialContent
01/19/2026
6
Earnings call transcript Old Second Bancorp beats Q4 2025 forecasts By Investing.com - Investing.com Nigeria
01/22/2026
7
Raymond James raises Old Second Bancorp stock price target to 23 By Investing.com - Investing.com South Africa
01/26/2026
8
Old Second Bancorp Announces 43.9 Million Share Buyback - TipRanks
01/29/2026
9
Is Old Second Bancorp Pricing Reflect Its Strong Excess Returns Potential - simplywall.st
02/02/2026
Price Earnings Ratio11.9708
Dividend Yield0.0155
Payout Ratio0.1543
  

OLD SECOND Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,554  in OLD SECOND BANCORP on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  146.00  from holding OLD SECOND BANCORP or generate 9.4% return on investment over 90 days. OLD SECOND BANCORP is currently producing 0.1882% returns and takes up 2.7909% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 25% of traded stocks are less volatile than OLD, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon OLD SECOND is expected to generate 3.65 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.65 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

OLD SECOND Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of OLD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.00 90 days 17.00 
about 20.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OLD SECOND to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.23 (This OLD SECOND BANCORP probability density function shows the probability of OLD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, OLD SECOND will likely underperform. Additionally OLD SECOND BANCORP has an alpha of 0.0219, implying that it can generate a 0.0219 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   OLD SECOND Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OLD SECOND

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OLD SECOND BANCORP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1216.9119.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2414.0318.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3716.1618.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.4316.6717.91
Details

OLD SECOND Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OLD SECOND is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OLD SECOND's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OLD SECOND BANCORP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OLD SECOND within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

OLD SECOND Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OLD SECOND for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OLD SECOND BANCORP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Old Second Bancorp Pricing Reflect Its Strong Excess Returns Potential - simplywall.st

OLD SECOND Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OLD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OLD SECOND's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OLD SECOND's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0155
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.22
Shares Float50.7 M

OLD SECOND Fundamentals Growth

OLD Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of OLD SECOND, and OLD SECOND fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on OLD Stock performance.

About OLD SECOND Performance

By analyzing OLD SECOND's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into OLD SECOND's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if OLD SECOND has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if OLD SECOND has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
OLD SECOND is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on F exchange.

Things to note about OLD SECOND BANCORP performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about OLD SECOND for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for OLD SECOND BANCORP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Old Second Bancorp Pricing Reflect Its Strong Excess Returns Potential - simplywall.st
Evaluating OLD SECOND's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate OLD SECOND's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing OLD SECOND's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether OLD SECOND's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining OLD SECOND's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating OLD SECOND's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of OLD SECOND's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of OLD SECOND's stock. These opinions can provide insight into OLD SECOND's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating OLD SECOND's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact OLD SECOND's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for OLD Stock analysis

When running OLD SECOND's price analysis, check to measure OLD SECOND's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OLD SECOND is operating at the current time. Most of OLD SECOND's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OLD SECOND's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OLD SECOND's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OLD SECOND to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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